Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.419507 0.494327 0.576765 0.674081 0.785550 0.908961 1.055652
2024-10-13 0.297185 0.393574 0.510681 0.662305 0.852175 1.080724 1.375149
2024-10-20 0.220714 0.323942 0.460449 0.651588 0.909272 1.241188 1.696993
2024-10-27 0.170714 0.274650 0.422753 0.644645 0.963089 1.397050 2.025012
2024-11-03 0.140434 0.245158 0.404506 0.657609 1.040648 1.587832 2.414594
2024-11-10 0.116492 0.219442 0.385863 0.664588 1.106917 1.765643 2.799195
2024-11-17 0.097224 0.196851 0.367302 0.667124 1.164001 1.932261 3.178972
2024-11-24 0.083297 0.180409 0.355508 0.677596 1.232633 2.120030 3.603608
2024-12-01 0.070912 0.164059 0.340770 0.680048 1.286726 2.287613 4.007932
2024-12-08 0.057645 0.142946 0.313570 0.655912 1.291527 2.373846 4.286376
2024-12-15 0.051854 0.136245 0.312595 0.679385 1.381417 2.607522 4.822441
2024-12-22 0.046234 0.128673 0.308531 0.695980 1.459683 2.826351 5.347689
2024-12-29 0.043257 0.126919 0.316752 0.738845 1.593006 3.154956 6.090627
2025-01-05 0.036766 0.115040 0.301260 0.731276 1.629004 3.312887 6.547270
2025-01-12 0.031174 0.104065 0.285853 0.721578 1.659318 3.462124 6.998202
2025-01-19 0.026646 0.094790 0.272714 0.714752 1.694079 3.621276 7.476593
2025-01-26 0.023865 0.089852 0.269272 0.729249 1.774314 3.872678 8.142030
2025-02-02 0.021131 0.084319 0.263340 0.737011 1.840581 4.101078 8.777748
2025-02-09 0.018560 0.078576 0.255819 0.739835 1.895997 4.311329 9.390973
2025-02-16 0.016635 0.074472 0.252035 0.751321 1.971639 4.567325 10.108386
2025-02-23 0.014663 0.069597 0.245184 0.754012 2.027182 4.785338 10.762929
2025-03-02 0.012137 0.061775 0.228155 0.727580 2.011695 4.852913 11.118288
2025-03-09 0.011288 0.060352 0.230362 0.753290 2.123244 5.198499 12.060627